Possibility of disruption of the food and fuel supply chain in Yemen and the spread of cholera.
summary:
• According to ACAPS analysis, local and regional escalation could disrupt Yemen's food and fuel supply chains, raising the risk of famine and a health crisis.
• There is no significant changes in import flows to Red Sea ports until January 2024.
• Basic food prices have not increased significantly in Houthi or legitimate government-controlled areas.
• Suspected cholera cases increased in the fourth quarter of 2023, necessitating additional efforts to combat the disease.
• The OCHA report emphasizes the importance of improving outbreak prevention, preparedness, detection, and response, as well as health facility operational sustainability over time.
According to ACAPS analysis, local and regional escalation may disrupt Yemen's food and fuel supply chain, increasing the risk of famine and a health crisis. The security situation and humanitarian access may also be impacted, though no changes will occur until the beginning of January 2024.
According to the findings, there were no significant changes in import flows, particularly in Red Sea ports, until the beginning of January. Basic food prices did not rise significantly in either Houthi or legitimate government-controlled areas. However, as the risk of war increased, so did the cost of ship insurance.
Regarding the global impact of the escalation, many shipping companies decided to divert their ships to the Cape of Good Hope, avoiding the Red Sea route via the Suez Canal. This diversion is expected to add 10-14 days to the ship's voyage.
According to the World Food Programme, the response to the Yemen emergency is the world's largest. The number of people in need of assistance in Yemen is expected to reach 21.6 million by 2023, with 17 million experiencing food insecurity.
The most recent reports on Yemen's humanitarian situation show a significant increase in suspected cholera cases in several governorates in the fourth quarter of 2023, with a total of 1,018 cases and six deaths reported. There is an urgent need to continue efforts to combat cholera, especially because the upcoming rainy season may exacerbate the disease's spread.
OCHA's most recent report focuses on improving disease outbreak prevention, preparedness, detection, and response, as well as finding long-term operational sustainability for health facilities and the provision of critical health care services to the community.
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